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Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio says that a period of stagflation similar to the one witnessed in the 1970s could be approaching.

In a new interview with David Rubenstein, Dalio addresses the US dollar’s big decline against major currencies this year, saying that it could be foreshadowing an incoming phase of stagflation, which refers to a time of high inflation, high unemployment, and low economic growth.

Dalio says in the end, while the dollar may underperform other currencies, those currencies also won’t be doing well relative to hard assets like gold.

“I think the picture would be some version very similar to the 70s… And the 70s was a period in which there was stagflation. The thing we have to worry about is a stagflationary environment, because all the currencies went down.

So when you were looking at ‘diversification,’ the problems that we’re talking about are not just American problems. We have a significant problem, but they’re European problems, they’re Japanese problems. There are Chinese problems. We’ve lived on promises, to be able to take that debt asset and convert it into money.

And now there’s not enough money to go around, so I would say that when you ask the question, does it devalue in relation to other currencies? Probably, but the other currencies won’t see much of an appreciation. So that’s why I’m saying something like gold will be the better-performing currency.”

The hedge fund legend recently warned that in order to address a looming fiscal crisis, the US government would need to cut spending and raise taxes to lower the annual deficit to gross domestic product (GDP) ratio.

“This printing and devaluing is not good for those holding bonds as a storehold of wealth, and what’s bad for bonds and US credit markets is bad for everyone because the US Treasury market is the backbone of all capital markets, which are the backbones of our economic and social conditions. Unless this path is soon rectified to bring the budget deficit from roughly 7% of GDP to about 3% by making adjustments to spending, taxes, and interest rates, big, painful disruptions will likely occur.”

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Billionaire Ray Dalio Warns of Potential 1970s-Style Stagflation, Says There’s ‘Not Enough Money To Go Around’

Bank of America (BofA) believes corporate America will send the S&P 500 soaring to new all-time high levels.

Despite President Trump’s trade war, BofA strategists including Savita Subramanian and Jill Carey Hall predict that the S&P 500 will hit 6,300 by the end of the year and skyrocket to 6,600 in 12 months, reports Bloomberg.

BofA strategists say America’s economic engine remains resilient.

“Despite tentative trade deals, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act and receding recession risks, policy uncertainty is near all-time highs and sovereign yields are at multi-decade highs. But corporate transparency has remained intact…

Volatility in currency, inflation and rates have failed to rattle S&P 500 margins since Covid – corporates either adapted or dropped out of the index.”

BofA’s bullish stance comes as one wealth advisory firm says investors are becoming increasingly optimistic about the trajectory of the S&P 500.

In a new CNBC interview, Payne Capital Management senior wealth advisor Courtney Garcia says tariff headlines are no longer rattling investor confidence, as markets grow accustomed to Trump’s threats being delayed or dialed back.

“I think what the market is starting to realize is that these are just getting pushed down the line… There are no really tariff deadlines that are coming. They just keep getting pushed out indefinitely, and that’s where markets are saying, ‘Okay, this isn’t probably as bad as we expected,’ at least in the first week of April, which markets have already moved past.

I think at this point, markets are more focused on almost a Goldilocks scenario, that interest rates are probably coming down later this year, growth is actually still strong, inflation is starting to come down. I think that’s what the market is pricing in.”

Payne Capital Management is a New York-based registered investment advisor that oversees $1.06 billion in assets.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Bank of America Unveils S&P 500 Targets As Wealth Advisory Firm Says Investors Pricing In Goldilocks Scenario for Stock Market: Report

The chief executive of Bitcoin (BTC) financial services firm Fold is issuing a warning about altcoins, saying that the crypto king’s market dominance isn’t something that will backtrack.

In a new interview with CNBC Television, Fold CEO Will Reeves says that the top crypto asset by market cap’s recent new all-time high was due to a combination of high institutional demand and low supply.

“This is what happens when massive demand meets the finite supply of Bitcoin. And what we’re seeing right now is the supply shock in motion.

So I’d certainly say what we are seeing is the fundamentals of Bitcoin in play…

What we’ve seen recently with the rise of Bitcoin treasury companies, the ETFs (exchange-traded funds) is that entirely new classes of capital are able to invest in the asset. What we’re seeing is what happens when trillions of dollars start knocking on the door – the price tends to go up.”

According to Reeves, the market’s appetite for BTC will cause its dominance levels to irreversibly rise – a trend that would leave countless altcoins competing for capital.

“Frankly, I think [altcoins] will remain speculative. Bitcoin dominance is at 60% and rising. I think what we’re seeing is an inevitable trend towards the signal, the apex asset. The issue is that Bitcoin is the only credibly neutral digital asset that is in issuance.

All the other tokens are still proving extraordinarily speculative use cases without the track record of Bitcoin. And so what we are seeing today is the continued march of Bitcoin dominating this entire market… Ultimately, what we’ve seen is something that can’t be reversed.”

Bitcoin is trading for $117,613 at time of writing, a sideways move on the day. Meanwhile, Bitcoin dominance, which measures how much of the total crypto market cap belongs to BTC, stands at 64.58%.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Fold CEO Warns Altcoins To Remain Speculative, Says Bitcoin’s Market Dominance ‘Something That Can’t Be Reversed’

A crypto hacker who stole tens of millions of dollars from the decentralized crypto perpetuals exchange GMX (GMX) is turning white hat by returning the stolen funds to collect a bounty.

In a new thread on the social media platform X, GMX says the hacker who stole $42 million worth of crypto assets earlier this week from its Arbitrum (ARB)-based liquidity pool is returning the funds and collecting a $5 million reward.

“A potential exploitable amount of $42 million belonging to GLP holders was secured. After payment of a $5 million bounty to the user, the remaining funds are now safely in the GMX Security Multisig.

Contributors are working on a proposed distribution plan for presentation to the GMX DAO (decentralized autonomous organization) and will share more information shortly.”

According to previous reports, the hacker struck on July 9th and transferred part of the funds to an unknown wallet. At the time, GMX said the exploit was limited to GMXV1 and that V2, its markets and liquidity pools, as well as the ecosystem’s native asset, were unaffected.

In its report on the incident, GMX says the exploit was a re-entrancy attack, or a type of hack that affects smart contracts by taking advantage of a vulnerability presented when a smart contract makes a call to another before updating itself, leaving open the possibility for an external malicious contract to enter in.

News of the returned fund sent GMX skyrocketing, as the digital asset is trading for $13.36 at time of writing, an 18.4% increase during the last 24 hours.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Crypto Hacker Who Drained $42,000,000 From GMX Goes White Hat, Returns Funds in Exchange for $5,000,000 Bounty

JPMorgan Chase chief executive Jamie Dimon thinks the U.S. Federal Reserve could actually raise rates, contrary to popular belief.

Despite consensus expectations of a rate cut in the coming months, Dimon said in a speech in Ireland on Thursday that he thinks the market is underestimating the potential impact of inflation on the Fed’s policymaking, Reuters reports.

“I think the possibility of those higher rates (is) higher than anybody else…

The market is pricing a 20% chance. I would price in a 40-50% chance. I would put that as a cause for concern.”

Dimon says the US government’s tariffs, immigration policies and budget deficit could all have inflationary impacts.

Other voices in the financial sector have predicted the opposite for Fed policy. Goldman Sachs Research economists recently estimated there’s more than a 50% chance of the Fed cutting rates at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in September, three months earlier than their previous prediction.

The Goldman economists predict 25-basis-point cuts in September, October, and December, and March and June of 2026.

The CME FedWatch Tool estimates there’s a 93.3% chance the Fed will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 4.25-4.5% at the FOMC meeting in July. The tool, which generates probabilities using the 30-day Fed Funds futures prices, estimates there’s a 59.7% chance the Fed will cut the rate by 25 basis points at the FOMC meeting in September.

FedWatch estimates a 0% chance of a rate hike this month or in September.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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JPMorgan Chase CEO Says Traders May Be Seriously Mistaken on Fed Rate Cuts: Report

A top executive at the retail-focused trading app giant Robinhood is updating her targets for the S&P 500 this year.

In a new interview on CNBC’s Squawk Box, Robinhood CIO Stephanie Guild says that she believes the S&P 500 may close the year at around 6,200, though a move to 6,500 is on the table.

“I started [the year] at 6,500. When tariffs hit, I said GDP could come down and that could impact earnings. Usually, a 1% hit on GDP is about a 4% hit on earnings. We’ve seen earnings expectations come down. I said there was risk to 5,800, but I never went there. And now I think there’s risk to 6,500 – obviously we’re over my target. But with the pumping up of potential tariffs now I’m just sort of waiting to see what happens…

This is all driven by tariffs, but is driven by our president, who also cares about the economy and wants the economy to grow…

If [the Fed] cut, then you definitely get 6,500…because then it just like reaffirms what the market has been hoping for.”

Guild also says that ahead of next week’s bank earnings, she believes regional banks will outperform the big banks in the coming months.

“I’m more bullish on the regionals than the large [banks]…I think they’ll just benefit more from deregulation.

And if we do get some rate cuts this year, which I think we should, but obviously there are reasons why they haven’t been cut yet, then I think you do get a steeper [yield] curve and then that does help [regional banks] as well.”

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Robinhood CIO Unveils S&P 500 Targets, Says She’s ‘More Bullish’ on One Banking Sector Ahead of Earnings Reports

The US government has just taken down the largest health care fraud operation in history.

The DOJ says it has identified 324 defendants in an alleged $14.6 billion fraud scheme comprising of several different scam tactics targeting Americans.

In one scheme that targeted vulnerable elderly patients – some of whom were in hospices – defendants are accused of applying medically unnecessary amniotic allografts to the patients’ wounds, and then receiving millions of dollars worth of illegal kickbacks from a fraudulent billing scheme.

In another alleged fraud, 74 defendants, including 44 licensed medical professionals, are accused of illegally peddling 15 million pills of prescription opioids and other controlled substances.

Another charge was filed in the Northern District of Illinois against five defendants, including two owners and executives at Pakistani marketing companies, whose alleged fraud involved a $703 million Medicare scam. The DOJ says victims of the scheme had their identification numbers and other confidential health information stolen through theft and deceptive marketing.

As part of the investigation, the DOJ seized $245 million worth of cash, luxury vehicles, cryptocurrency and other assets, “demonstrating the significant return on investment that results from health care fraud enforcement efforts.”

Says Robert Murphy of the DEA,

“Health care fraud isn’t just theft — it’s trafficking in trust. Today’s announcement shows that when doctors become drug dealers and treatment centers become profit-driven fraud rings, DEA will act… We’re targeting the entire ecosystem of fraud — from pill mills in Texas to kickback clinics exploiting Native communities. If you abuse your medical license to push poison or pad your pockets, we will hold you accountable.”

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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Record $14,600,000,000 Health Care Fraud Involving Doctors, Nurses, Pharmacists And Others Taken Down By Feds

A dangerous Android-based banking malware is rapidly spreading across the United States and Canada.

Anatsa is capable of stealing banking credentials using various methods including overlay attacks and keystroke logging attacks, reports Threat Fabric.

The banking malware can also conduct fraudulent transactions remotely from the infected Android devices.

Threat Fabric says Anatsa is being distributed on the US Google Play app marketplace under various guises such as a PDF update, a file manager, a document viewer, a phone cleaner and other legitimate-appearing apps. Once installed, an update transforms it into malicious software.

“Once the application gains a substantial user base – often in the thousands or tens of thousands of downloads – an update is deployed, embedding malicious code into the app.

This embedded code downloads and installs Anatsa on the device as a separate application.”

In the latest campaign, Threat Fabric says Anatsa was downloaded more than 50,000 times between June 24th and June 30th. Anatsa ranked third among the “Top Free Tools” category on the US Google Play app marketplace over that period.

While Anatsa has been active since at least 2020 and has enjoyed consistently high levels of success, the mobile cybersecurity firm says this is the third instance where the banking malware is focusing on mobile banking users in the US and Canada.

“The Anatsa malware campaigns continue to show a growing focus on North American targets, particularly mobile banking applications. The latest operation not only broadened its reach but also relied on well-established tactics aimed at financial institutions in the region.”

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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New Banking Malware Hammers US and Canada, Reaches Over 50,000 Android Users in Just Six Days

The federal government is accusing a bank employee of stealing hundreds of thousands of dollars from a dozen customers.

The Justice Department says in July and August of 2024, Damani Brown allegedly used his credentials to access the accounts of 12 customers and then drained a total of $477,000 from those accounts.

The employee allegedly worked with a co-conspirator.

“Brown was able to see whether the victim customers had ever registered their online accounts, their bank member number and social security number. Shortly after Brown performed a lookup, a co-conspirator registered the victim customer’s online account.”

After being drained from the dozen customer accounts, the funds were moved to third-party accounts, according to the Justice Department. Approximately $327,000 was transferred via CashApp or withdrawn from local bank branches. Some of the victims reported about their missing money to the bank within a few days of noticing the unauthorized transactions.

In January, the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) obtained a warrant to search the email accounts used to administer the bank accounts.

“Investigators recovered verification emails sent from the bank containing one-time password codes and notification emails sent from the bank with updates regarding the online accounts, including email updates, password resets, and account freezes.”

Brown, who no longer works at the bank, is now facing charges of “aggravated identity theft, access device fraud and conspiracy to commit access device fraud, computer fraud and conspiracy to commit computer fraud, and bank fraud and conspiracy to commit bank fraud” filed by the United States Attorney for the Western District of New York. He faces a maximum of 30 years in prison and a $1 million fine if convicted.

Bank Insider Allegedly Drains $477,000 From 12 Customer Accounts Without Authorization: US Department of Justice

Boutique investment bank KBW believes JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley are primed to witness higher prices as conditions conspire to favor large US banks

In a new interview on CNBC Television, KBW head of US bank research Chris McGratty says the firm has upgraded its ratings for JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley to outperform, with price targets of $327 for JPM and $160 for MS.

According to McGratty, large banks are poised to benefit from easing regulations due to their scale-driven efficiency and consistent performance.

“You are seeing a re-rating. This re-rating has been occurring for the past couple of months. Deregulation is being built into earnings estimate upside scenarios, blue skies, and the reality is that the upside scenario is becoming the base-case scenario.

So you’re seeing the universal, the largest six banks, lead the charge. We’ve gotten a lot of positive news on deregulation, and that’s one of three themes with this launch is deregulation. The other two themes are scale and consistency, and any way you check it, the largest banks have all three under the relative winners.”

As of Friday’s close, JPM is trading at $286 and MS is worth $142.

Another banking giant on McGratty’s radar is Citi (C). McGratty says Citi may be the most undervalued stock among the group based on its return on tangible common equity (ROTCE), a financial metric that measures how efficiently a bank is generating profits for its common shareholders.

“If you think about their guide, their 10-11% ROTCE guide for next year, they took that down earlier this year. So the bar has been lowered. But if you look at where expectations are, we’re in the low to mid-9%. So there’s a big gap between low 9% and 10 to 11%. So if they can get that right, it’s the cheapest stock in the group.

They’ve got a buyback catalyst. It’s very accretive when you can buy your stock back below 10 to a book value. And so this deregulatory environment for Citi is hugely helpful.

The reason the ROE (return on equity) is so low is that the expenses have had to play catch-up. That investment phase is done, and so what the company is doing now is they are generating revenue. They are generating positive operating leverage across their businesses, and if they can get the macro to settle in a bit, this is a company I think we can re-rate quite a bit.”

KBW is a New York-based firm known for its deep expertise in financials and bank stock coverage.

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Wall Street Firm Abruptly Upgrades JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley, Says Upside Scenario Now Base Case for Big Banks

The four largest banks in the US are staring at tens of billions of dollars in unrealized losses on their held-to-maturity (HTM) securities as bond portfolios remain in the red.

JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Wells Fargo and Citigroup, according to S&P Global, together hold $172.28 billion in unrealized losses on their HTM securities as of March 31st.

The high interest rate environment is weighing heavily on the value of the HTM securities and the downward trend in the value of the banks’ investments in these assets is unlikely to change soon, the financial data firm says.

Bank of America had the highest level of unrealized losses on HTM securities at $96.35 billion, followed by Wells Fargo at $37.82 billion. JPMorgan Chase’s unrealized losses on HTM securities stood at $22.91 billion while Citigroup’s were at $15.2 billion.

Among the Big Four lenders, Bank of America recorded the lowest decline year-over-year in the value of its HTM assets – a 6.2% decrease to $550.76 billion.

“JPMorgan Chase & Co. reported the biggest year-over-year decline in HTM securities of 20.8% to $265.17 billion while Citigroup Inc. led with the biggest quarterly decline of 9.1% to $220.51 billion as of March 31. Wells Fargo saw a 12.2% decline year-over-year in its HTM securities balances.”

The unrealized losses on HTM assets by the Big Four are emblematic of the industry, according to S&P Global.

“Banks continue to sit on unrealized losses tied to bonds they purchased when institutions were flush with excess liquidity and interest rates were far lower. Increases in interest rates punished the values of many bonds that banks held while their funding costs moved higher, putting pressure on their net interest margins.”

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed at The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrency or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, Wells Fargo and Citigroup Holding $172,280,000,000 in Unrealized Losses As Bank Bond Portfolios Remain Underwater: S&P Global

Florida Attorney General James Uthmeier has launched an investigation into Robinhood over allegations that the retail trading giant falsely promotes its crypto platform as the least expensive way to purchase digital assets.

Uthmeier notes that Robinhood earns revenue by routing customers’ trades to third-party market makers in a payment-for-order-flow (PFOF) system.

The state attorney general says Robinhood attracts customers by claiming to offer the “lowest cost on average” to trade crypto. Uthmeier argues, however, that Robinhood’s PFOF structure actually makes it more expensive than competing platforms that offer all-in trading costs.

“When consumers buy and sell crypto assets, they deserve transparency in their transactions. Robinhood has long claimed to be the best bargain, but we believe those representations were deceptive.”

The attorney general says third-party market makers that pay Robinhood for order flow sometimes have to charge worse prices to be profitable.

Uthmeier issued a subpoena, asking Robinhood for organizational documents, employee information, advertising history, disclosures made to users related to fees, pricing documents, PFOF information, documents related to the sale of customer data, and information regarding Florida users specifically.

Robinhood’s crypto division is required to respond to the subpoena by the end of the month, according to the attorney general.

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Radix's New $10 Million Ecosystem Fund Is Paving the Way for DeFi's Mass Adoption

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